关于赫尔德历史发展的思想

赫尔德是历史哲学的开拓者之一。他从人在宇宙中的地位出发,独创性的提出了历史发展思想。他的历史哲学思想具有两面性。     

20世纪二、三十年代新桂系主导的广西工业运动

20世纪二、三十年代以李宗仁、白崇禧、黄旭初为首的新桂系在广西掀起一场轰轰烈烈的工业化运动,促进了广西近现代工业的进程.但这种"军刀"主持下的工业化对广西工业发展也产生了一些负面影响,使得经济越来越没有效率和活力,导致广西区域经济现代化的目标无法实现.     

中国企业“逆周期”跨国并购研究

"新常态"经济周期中,中国企业跨国并购有何特征?从经济政策频繁波动的现实出发,如何理解跨国并购的"逆周期"成因?文章基于2001-2016年中国企业对91个国家的跨国并购数据,实证检验了经济周期、经济政策不确定性对跨国并购的影响,得出以下结论：首先,中国企业的跨国并购具有显著的"逆周期"特征,下行经济周期加剧了并购规模提升;其次,经济政策不确定性与跨国并购正相关,并且在国有企业中和2008年金融危机后表现为更明显;最后,经济政策不确定性差距以及市场增长潜力差距均提升了并购规模。     

Economic integration,economic crises and economic cycles in Mexico

This article analyzes the peculiarity of the dynamics of economic fluctuations of the Mexican economy, within the framework of its integration with the US and Canada; the article demonstrates how the Mexican economy make endogenous the macroeconomic crises from the USA (2001 and 2007), and how the business cycles of both countries became more aligned to each other.Based on the heterodox economic theory of crises and cycles, we check the “empirical law of economic dynamics” of the Mexican capitalist system according to the logic of the multiplier–accelerator theory that allowed us to study the dynamics of business cycles for the period of the study (1993–2013). To do this, we construct and estimate a stationary VAR model and utilize the Granger causality tests and quarterly data.     

Australian momentum: performance,capacity and the GFC effect

This paper assesses the performance of momentum strategies in Australia, and how they were affected by the GFC. This paper is the first to address the issue of the dollar capacity of momentum strategies in the Australian market. We find evidence of a strong momentum effect in Australia amongst the S&P/ASX200 constituents. We find that momentum portfolios suffered during the GFC, but the effect was not persistent. Finally, we show that the capacity of the momentum effect in Australia is large enough in dollar terms to reject the assertion that momentum is more of a theoretical than a practical construct.     

The art of development: economic and cultural development through art in San Juan la Laguna,Guatemala

This paper examines how artisans experience economic and cultural changes through art sales to tourists in San Juan la Laguna, Guatemala; the aim is to analyse experiences from hosts and producers in art tourism. Using a life course approach, the artists in this area expressed how they do not copy the art of their ancestors, but draw on their past to create new art that reflects their experiences, and sell it to tourists at a price they set. Painting on canvas and murals is a way to overcome historical discrimination based on their cultural identity while they explore and communicate their new identities to themselves and outsiders. Therefore the encounter at the art market strengthens both their economic identities and cultural identities. This is contradiction because the two goals are not necessarily complementary. I argue that the painters in San Juan illustrate the art of development because the painters artfully use their new economic and cultural identities to craft a space to negotiate the terms of the encounter with globalization to struggle for a better life.     

产业投资基金真的可以驱动经济结构优化吗——产业基金对经济增长与产业升级驱动程度的PVAR模型分析

在中国经济转型过程中,众多地方政府选择产业投资基金作为优化经济结构的助推工具,但实践中各地方产业基金的投资效果与期望目标存在较大差异,因此需要对产业基金的经济优化效应进行检验。运用诺依曼定理分析产业基金与经济结构优化的互动机制并提出研究假设,采用面板向量自回归模型将经济结构优化表示为经济增长与产业升级,并与产业投资基金进行实证检验。结果表明,产业基金并不是经济结构优化的驱动因素,而只是其结果。一方面,产业基金并不会直接驱动经济增长与产业结构升级,而是通过增加金融投资总量间接作用于经济结构优化;另一方面,产业升级与经济增长会显著吸引产业投资基金。鉴于大量设立产业投资基金对于优化经济结构效果不显著,因而应当重点促进多元金融产业发展、提高企业融资能力、发展多种形式的金融工具。     

中国对外直接投资有助于沿线国家绿色技术创新吗——基于“一带一路”沿线国家数据的检验

“一带一路”沿线国家的绿色转型给中国承担新使命、促进国内国际双循环和绿色发展创造了新机遇。基于中国对外直接投资（OFDI）特征,研究其对“一带一路”沿线国家绿色技术创新的影响及作用机制。研究发现,中国OFDI主要通过绿色技术溢出机制、增长机制影响“一带一路”沿线国家绿色技术创新;该绿色技术创新效应随着互联互通合作水平提升而显著增强,且对沿线国家绿色技术创新的改善效果主要体现在高收入组国家。     

长三角城市群新型城镇化与生态效率耦合协调及驱动因素研究

随着我国迈入高质量发展阶段,城市可持续发展的一个重要难题就是城镇化与生态保护的协调问题。以长三角地区作为研究区域,利用熵权法和非期望产出SBM模型定量测度2005—2018年新型城镇化水平和生态效率;借助耦合协调模型,测度二者的时空格局及相对发展状态;通过构建Tobit模型,研究长三角地区新型城镇化与生态效率耦合的驱动因素。结果表明:(1)从综合发展水平来看,长三角地区新型城镇化、生态效率均呈上升趋势,但两个子系统之间发展不平衡;(2)从协调发展水平来看,长三角地区新型城镇化与生态效率的耦合协调度均值在0.38~0.72之间,整体处于上升趋势,经历了“拮抗—磨合—协调”三个阶段,且空间分异特征显著;研究阶段前期,发展水平多为新型城镇化超前,后期发展比例趋向均衡。(3)从驱动因素来看,资源聚集能力、经济发展水平、区域创新环境、社会促进能力对耦合协调度产生显著的积极影响,工业化水平及对外开放程度则对耦合协调度产生显著的负向影响,且地区间的驱动因素差异较为显著。